Will Tampa House Prices Go Down?

Will Tampa House Prices Go Down Cover picture shows the skyline of Tampa at night with water reflections.

Market research predicts that the Tampa House Prices will improve in 2023 after cooling off in 2022. Currently, Tampa’s home prices are up nearly 18%, which is higher than the national average of 11%. As of December 2022, there is about a 2.2 months supply of homes for sale in Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater MSA, which is a 214.3% increase compared to last year. This indicates that the real estate market is currently favorable to sellers, as it has less than the 5.5 months of inventory that typically characterizes a balanced market.

Despite the pandemic, the Tampa Bay region’s housing market remains among the least vulnerable in the country. Tampa Real Estate is also one of the most affordable in Florida and is a hot market for rental homes. However, there is high demand for entry-level single-family homes, indicating that the market may favor buyers in this particular segment.

Will Tampa House Prices Go Down?

Recent sales data suggests that the highly competitive real estate market in Tampa Bay is slowing down. Greater Tampa REALTORS® reported a nearly 37% decrease in single-family home sales in the Tampa MSA compared to the previous year, while Hillsborough County and Pasco saw decreases and increases in sales, respectively. Year-to-date, the Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater MSA has seen a 19.1% decrease in closed sales compared to the previous year, likely due to rising mortgage rates making purchases more expensive for traditional buyers.

Will tampa house prices go down?  As of December 2022, the median price of single-family homes for sale in Tampa and its surrounding areas continued to rise steadily. In Hillsborough County, the median price increased by 7.2% to $400,000, while in Pasco County, it rose by 37.2% to $375,990. The median price of single-family homes in the Tampa St. Petersburg Clearwater MSA also increased by 8.8% to $394,095. These figures indicate that the demand for homes for sale in Tampa remains strong.

The total dollar volume of homes sold in the Tampa St. Petersburg Clearwater MSA decreased by 31.4% year-over-year to $1.5 billion, and year-to-date, it was $21.9 billion, down by 3.2% from last year. However, these numbers do not necessarily indicate a weak real estate industry in the area.

Will Tampa House Prices Go Down?  Statistics

Cash sales for homes for sale in Tampa decreased by 46.9%, with only 25.3% of closed sales paid in cash, a 15.9% decrease from the previous year. Nonetheless, brokers in the area report seeing many out-of-state cash buyers, resulting in higher prices. This suggests that there is still considerable investor interest in the Tampa real estate market.

The condo market in Tampa is also strong, with a median sales price increase of 15.9% to $300,750. However, the supply of condos remains tight, with only 2.2 months of inventory, an increase of 214.3% from last year. Closed sales were down by 33.4% year-over-year, and the total dollar volume for condos sold was $423.1 million.

The Tampa Bay real estate market remains robust, with an increasing inventory of homes for sale Tampa. But will Tampa house prices go down?  Due to the low supply of available properties, the market is still moderately favorable to sellers, and demand is outpacing supply. The shortage of homes for sale is causing prices to rise, making it a good time for sellers to enter the market.

Will Tampa House Prices Go Down?  Home Sales

According to a report prepared by Florida REALTORS®, the Tampa MSA (Metropolitan Statistical Area) saw a decrease of -36.9% in closed sales of single-family homes year-over-year. The year-to-date sales were also down by -19.1% compared to the previous year. The percentage of all-cash sales decreased by -46.9% year-over-year, and the percentage of closed sales paid in cash was 25.3%, indicating investor activity in the market.

The median sale price of single-family homes in Tampa increased by 8.8% to $394,095, and the average sale price increased by 8.7% to $484,839. Homes are selling faster, with a median time to contract of 29 days (up 262.5% year-over-year) and a median time to sale of 71 days (up 47.9%).

However, there are fewer sellers putting their homes on the market in Tampa, with new listings down 25.3% year-over-year. The inventory of active listings has increased by 153%, but the months supply of inventory is only 2.2 months, indicating a tight market with low supply. Historically, six months of supply has been associated with moderate price appreciation, while lower levels of supply tend to accelerate price increases.

Will Tampa House Prices Go Down?  Investment

Looking for homes for sale in Tampa? Let’s take a look at the forecast for the Tampa real estate market in 2023. Based on Market research online data, Tampa is one of the best long-term real estate investments in the U.S. Home values in the Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater Metro area have appreciated by nearly 19.5% in the last twelve months. Will tampa house prices go down?  The current typical home value of homes in the Tampa Bay area is $388,223.

However, there is a limited supply of homes for sale in Tampa, which often results in higher prices and quicker sales that favor sellers. The demand from buyers is exceeding the current supply of homes for sale in the Tampa housing market. The Tampa real estate market remains strong and favors sellers due to the persistent imbalance in supply and demand.

Will tampa house prices go down?In terms of housing supply, it would take about six months for the supply to dwindle to zero in a balanced real estate market. However, the Tampa market can tip to favor buyers if the supply increases to more than six months of inventory, which is not expected to happen anytime soon.

Will Tampa House Prices Go Down?  Forecast

The real estate appreciation rate in Tampa was around 6.20% in the last quarter, which translates to an annual appreciation rate of 27.20%. The Tampa MSA housing market forecast ending with December 2033 is positive, with Market Research predicting that home values will rise by 1.7% by December 2023.  Will tampa house prices go down?  If the forecast is accurate, home prices in Tampa will be higher in the fourth quarter of 2023 than they were in the fourth quarter of 2022.

Here are some foreclosure statistics for homes for sale in Tampa. According to the Greater Tampa REALTORS®, the Tampa real estate market recorded the following foreclosure data in Dec 2022: The median sale price of Foreclosure/REO properties in the Tampa metro was $320,500, which is a 38.9% increase compared to last year. On the other hand, the median sale price of short sales was $188,250, which is an 8.3% decrease. In Dec, there were 10 REOs and 2 short sales.

Are you considering investing in real estate in Tampa? Here’s an overview of why it might be a good idea to buy homes for sale in Tampa. Tampa is a city in Hillsborough County with a population of around 335,749. The Greater Tampa Bay area includes the Tampa and Sarasota metro areas and is a popular tourist destination. The area has a track record of being one of the best long-term real estate investments in the U.S. due to the growth in employment opportunities.

Will Tampa House Prices Go Down?  Supply

Tampa’s persistent imbalance between supply and demand has led to a continuing housing shortage and a surge in home prices, making it a popular location for real estate investors. The rental market is very strong in Tampa Bay, making it a top location for buying rental property in Florida. Tampa also offers several economic and development prospects, making it one of the hottest real estate markets in the U.S. in 2020.

If you’re looking to invest in Tampa, it’s important to consider your profit potential and purpose. Since Tampa House Prices are likely to keep going up, you don’t want to buy the most expensive property and expect a good profit on rents. However, there are several positive things going on in the Tampa real estate market that can help investors who are keen to buy an investment property in this city.

The Tampa Bay metropolitan area is experiencing significant growth and development, making it an attractive market for investors looking for high returns on residential and commercial properties. The bustling downtown area boasts a wide variety of restaurants and tourist attractions, contributing to the area’s overall appeal and popularity.

Will Tampa House Prices Go Down?  Quality of Life

Tampa Bay’s quality of life is highly regarded, making it an ideal place for families and retirees seeking an upgraded lifestyle. Excellent healthcare, education, and transportation facilities further add to the area’s attractiveness.

In addition to being a growing real estate market, Tampa Bay is also a popular recreational hub. The area hosts a range of entertainment activities to suit people of all ages and interests, making it a highly desirable place to live.

If you’re looking for “Homes for sale Tampa,” you should know that home prices and rents are on the rise. So the answer to the question “Will Tampa House Prices go down?” is no.  Although still affordable compared to other real estate markets in the country, residential property prices in Tampa are increasing rapidly. This makes it an excellent time for investors to purchase properties and hold onto them for a while before selling them at a higher price. The Tampa real estate market is expected to appreciate over the next year, offering investors an opportunity to improve their cash flows by buying rental properties and leasing them out to new residents of the city.

Will Tampa House Prices Go Down?  Investors

Investors can purchase properties at lower rates now, and later on, when the selling price of homes increases, they can sell them to better prospects. This makes the Tampa real estate market promising for short-term leases, including rental homes and tourist accommodations. For those with only 10% to put down, a single-family home is a better option for buying an investment property. This is because it will be easier to get a loan, and there are no restrictions on rentals.

According to the Market Research Tampa Metro Area Report, the Florida one-bedroom median rent was $1,685 last month, with Sarasota being the most expensive city, and Winter Haven ranking as the most affordable. The best place to buy rental property is in growing markets such as Sarasota and Largo, which are good options for investors looking to get started with rental property ownership at an affordable price. These cities are expected to have growing rental demand this year, offering investors an opportunity to improve their cash flows.

If you’re interested in finding “Homes for sale Tampa,” the best areas to invest in a rental property in the Tampa Metro Area are those with rising rents and increasing property values. Each real estate market has its unique supply-demand dynamics, with unique neighborhoods that present their opportunities for investors.

Will Tampa House Prices Go Down?  Best Places

Here are the latest statistics on Tampa House Prices and the fastest growing rental markets in the Tampa Metro Area, both year-over-year and month-over-month:


  1. Winter Haven had the fastest growing rent, increasing by 31.1% since this time last year.
  2. Lakeland saw rent climb by 30.5%, making it the second fastest growing market.
  3. Dunedin was third with rent jumping by 26.8%.


  1. Dunedin had the largest monthly growth rate, with rent up by 6.1%.
  2. Venice rent climbed by 5.9%, making it the second fastest growing market.
  3. Bradenton was third with rent increasing by 4.1%.

The thriving economy of Tampa has had a positive impact on Tampa House Prices, with an increasing demand for both residential and commercial properties. This growth can be attributed to the city’s job market, which has been booming and attracting more people to the area. As one of the fastest-growing job hubs in the country, Tampa has become a popular destination for those seeking employment opportunities.  Therefore, Will Tampa Home Prices Go Down?  Probably not.

Will Tampa House Prices Go Down?  Employment

The city is home to the headquarters of four Fortune 500 companies, making it an appealing location for job seekers and businesses alike. Additionally, Tampa has become a haven for entrepreneurs and small businesses due to its low operating costs and potential for growth. As a result, acquiring residential properties has become a top priority for many of these professionals upon relocating to the area.  This is another contributing aspect to Tampa House Prices going up.

Tampa’s economy is diverse and robust, with a range of industries contributing to its growth. From financial services and STEM to healthcare, research, education, tourism, beaches, and military bases, there are many opportunities for employment and economic prosperity in Tampa.

Tampa Bay is a renowned tourist destination that attracts visitors from all over the world. With numerous nature parks, landmarks, museums, and eateries, there is always something new for tourists to explore in Tampa. The growing tourism industry has also had a significant impact on the Tampa House Prices going up, with an increase in demand for short-term rental properties becoming a selling point in 2020.

Will Tampa House Prices Go Down?  Tourism

Some of the main tourist attractions in Tampa include Big Cat Rescue, Busch Gardens Florida, Eureka Springs Park, and the Tampa-Bay History Center, among many others. These attractions provide a unique blend of natural and cultural experiences that make Tampa a popular destination for both domestic and international tourists.

Beyond its attractions, Tampa’s comfortable temperature also adds to its allure as a tourist destination. This is another reason the answer to the question “Will Tampa House Prices Go Down?” is a no.  People are discovering the health benefits of the warm climate here.  With an average temperature of 99 F, the city enjoys a moderate climate that enhances productivity and inspires residents and visitors alike. This desirable weather condition is also a significant factor motivating people to move to Tampa Bay.

Overall, Tampa’s vibrant tourism industry and unique living environment make it a desirable place to visit and live. The growing demand for short-term rental properties indicates that there is immense potential for real estate investors to capitalize on the city’s thriving tourism industry.

Will Tampa House Prices Go Down?  Cost of Living

As the Tampa real estate market continues to grow, more and more people are considering a move to the area. One of the major factors that makes Tampa an attractive destination is its affordable cost of living compared to other cities. This is particularly appealing to retirees and small families who are looking to enhance their quality of life.

Tampa’s cost of living is 5% lower than the national average, making it an affordable option for those seeking a new place to call home. Housing expenses in Tampa are 23% lower than the national average, while utility prices are 16% higher. Transportation costs, including bus fares and gas prices, are 6% higher than the national average, while healthcare costs in Tampa are 2% lower.

Overall, the cost of living in Tampa is balanced and reasonable, offering a great quality of life at an affordable price. This, combined with the city’s growing real estate market, Tampa House Prices, and numerous attractions, makes it a desirable destination for people from all over the country.

Will Tampa House Prices Go Down?  Profitable Investments

Are you looking for profitable investments in real estate? Consider buying homes for sale in Tampa. The Tampa House Prices and housing market has been growing steadily for the past two years and is projected to continue growing throughout 2020. Compared to other cities such as Atlanta, Nashville, and Cleveland, Tampa has higher prospects for residential and commercial property investments, making it a wise investment opportunity.

Investors are recommended to invest in Tampa investment properties now and hold onto them for maximum return on investment. The Tampa real estate market fares considerably better than the national average in categories such as new-home starts, predicted to soar by more than 20 percent next year, which would ease one of the biggest constraints on the local real estate market – a shortage of homes for sale.

The demand for moderately priced homes will continue to increase, which means good cash flow from Tampa investment properties. The location of the investment property is crucial for desirability, which brings demand and raises the price. The best neighborhoods in Tampa are Old Seminole Heights, Sun Bay South, Tampa Palms, Spring Hill, Tampa Heights, Oldsmar, Grand Hampton, Davis Islands, Palma Ceia, Ybor City Historic District, Parrish, South Tampa, Hyde Park, Tampa Palms, Westchase, Temple Terrace, Riverside Heights, and New Tampa.  These Tampa House prices are likely to go up.

Will Tampa House Prices Go Down?  Other Options

Aside from Tampa, Ocala, Florida, is another hot market for real estate investments. The Ocala housing market is affordable for investors, and the area has recovered from the Great Recession, making it a nearly recession-proof industry. The median home price in Ocala is $163,179, making it a good investment opportunity.

Another market to consider is the housing market in Lakeland, Florida, which presents the perfect balance of currently affordable real estate for buyers and future growth. Although cheaper than Orlando and Tampa, the average resident earns around $23,000 a year, creating a strong demand for Lakeland rental homes, especially those that low-income residents can afford.

When making real estate investments, it’s crucial to choose a knowledgeable real estate professional who is well-informed about market conditions, forecasts, consumer attitudes, best locations, timing, and interest rates.

If you are planning to invest in Real Estate in Tampa, call Aaron today at 727-262-7920.

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About the Author

Raised in a family of creative entrepreneurs, Aaron Hunt, Realtor St Petersburg FL, guides his clients with the same irrepressible spirit he was surrounded by as a kid. A Florida transplant, Aaron relates well to the out-of-state buyers, retirees, and vacation home-dwellers who make up the bulk of his clientele. He makes no secret of his love for St. Petersburg and its neighboring cities and towns, and it fuels his passion for helping buyers find their dream home.

Originally from the San Francisco Bay Area, Aaron grew up on the West Coast. His family owns hotels throughout California, Idaho, and Las Vegas, which has shaped Aaron’s eye for detail and his mind for business. In his subsequent career in the spa industry, he established a high bar for client service designed to cater to every discerning taste. From pampering spa customers to tending to real estate clients, Aaron knows how to take care of people.

Realtor St Petersburg FL:  Exceeding Expectations

By limiting the number of clients he represents at any given time, he ensures his undivided attention, absorbing every detail so he can deliver outstanding results and exceed expectations. Aaron co-founded Avalon Group, Realtor St Petersburg FL, in 2014 and grew it into the top-rated real estate team in St. Petersburg and Tampa Bay out of over 10,000 agents. Some of Aaron's greatest strengths are organizing and leading complex projects, making deals happen, and driving profit.

Aaron negotiates deftly for his buyers’ ideal homes.  Furthermore,  he attracts multiple enticing offers for his sellers’ properties.   Aaron prepares meticulously for every transaction, thoroughly covering every detail so clients encounter no surprise. He also relies on his dynamic support team and vast professional network to ease every facet of a transaction.  Additionally he makes sure to fulfill specific client needs. Aaron, a broker associate and Pricing Strategy Advisor, satisfies his competitive streak when everyone wins.

Realtor St Petersburg FL:  Living the Tampa Bay Lifestyle

Aaron has been a proud Florida resident since 2013. There’s always something interesting to do in St. Petersburg, and Aaron relishes it, exploring the city, traveling, hiking, biking, and visiting with friends. He also enjoys trying new restaurants in the region, especially in neighborhoods where he has homes listed. Aaron takes time to give back to his community by supporting St. Pete Pride and other annual festivals throughout the area.